TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs OlyBet SB (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group C
Volume:
$19,021
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-one match between BESTIA and OlyBet SB in the Roman Imperium Cup Group C, scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets span match outcome, Map 1 round totals (odd/even), and Map 1 kill totals (odd/even), with resolution tied to official HLTV reporting.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's markets are logically contradictory and scope-mismatched. Both 'OlyBet SB wins Roman Imperium Cup' and 'BESTIA wins Roman Imperium Cup' resolve to Yes for the same match, violating binary market logic. Polymarket's markets are granular, well-scoped, and internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not rely on Kalshi's tournament-level framing for match settlement. Use Polymarket's explicit match outcome, Map 1 rounds (odd/even), and Map 1 kills (odd/even) as the canonical resolution framework. Kalshi's wording suggests a logical error in market design; escalate for clarification before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Two markets both resolve to Yes if either OlyBet SB or BESTIA wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026. This creates a non-binary outcome space and does not clearly map to the specific BO1 match result. Quote: 'If OlyBet SB wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If BESTIA wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate, binary markets with explicit scope: (1) Match winner (BESTIA vs OlyBet SB), (2) Map 1 total rounds (Odd/Even), (3) Map 1 total kills (Odd/Even). Each has clear edge-case rules (cancellation, forfeit, delay >7 days = 50-50). Quote: 'This market will resolve to BESTIA if BESTIA win the match against OlyBet SB. This market will resolve to OlyBet SB if OlyBet SB win the match against BESTIA.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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