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$1,436,095,462

405,232

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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61%

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Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs NOMERCY (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A
polymarket
kalshi

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs NOMERCY (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A

Volume:
$12,646

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 29, 2026

Closed: Mar 28, 2:40 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,929
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BESTIA

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,764
N/A
N/A
$1,722
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NOMERCY

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,933
N/A
N/A
$4,455
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-One match between BESTIA and NOMERCY in the Roman Imperium Cup Group A, scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Markets track the match winner, map-level kill totals (odd/even), and round totals (odd/even), with resolution sourced from HLTV.org.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines precise match and map-level resolution with explicit edge-case handling (cancellation, forfeit, delay >7 days = 50-50). Kalshi's market lacks granular cancellation/delay rules and uses ambiguous tournament-level language ('Roman Imperium Cup 2026 match') without clarifying scope.Hero tip: Before trading, confirm with Kalshi whether their market resolves on the single BO1 match outcome (equivalent to Polymarket) or on tournament-level results. Polymarket's 7-day delay threshold and 50-50 fallback for forfeits are explicit; Kalshi's are not. This creates settlement risk if the match is delayed or forfeited.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Match winner market resolves to BESTIA or NOMERCY based on BO1 result. Cancellation, forfeit, tie, or delay >7 days = 50-50. Map 1 kill/round markets resolve on HLTV.org statistics only, with 50-50 for no play or delay >7 days. Source: HLTV.org within 2 hours, or credible consensus if delayed.
  • Kalshi: Market resolves Yes if BESTIA or NOMERCY wins the 'Roman Imperium Cup 2026 match' scheduled Mar 28. No explicit rules for cancellation, delay, forfeit, or tie. Scope ambiguity: unclear if this is the single BO1 or a tournament-level outcome. No primary resolution source specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.