TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs NOMERCY (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A
Volume:
$12,646
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-One match between BESTIA and NOMERCY in the Roman Imperium Cup Group A, scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Markets track the match winner, map-level kill totals (odd/even), and round totals (odd/even), with resolution sourced from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines precise match and map-level resolution with explicit edge-case handling (cancellation, forfeit, delay >7 days = 50-50). Kalshi's market lacks granular cancellation/delay rules and uses ambiguous tournament-level language ('Roman Imperium Cup 2026 match') without clarifying scope.Hero Tip:
Before trading, confirm with Kalshi whether their market resolves on the single BO1 match outcome (equivalent to Polymarket) or on tournament-level results. Polymarket's 7-day delay threshold and 50-50 fallback for forfeits are explicit; Kalshi's are not. This creates settlement risk if the match is delayed or forfeited.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Match winner market resolves to BESTIA or NOMERCY based on BO1 result. Cancellation, forfeit, tie, or delay >7 days = 50-50. Map 1 kill/round markets resolve on HLTV.org statistics only, with 50-50 for no play or delay >7 days. Source: HLTV.org within 2 hours, or credible consensus if delayed.
- Kalshi: Market resolves Yes if BESTIA or NOMERCY wins the 'Roman Imperium Cup 2026 match' scheduled Mar 28. No explicit rules for cancellation, delay, forfeit, or tie. Scope ambiguity: unclear if this is the single BO1 or a tournament-level outcome. No primary resolution source specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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