TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Falcons Force (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
Volume:
$37,382
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-1 match between BESTIA and Falcons Force in the Parken Challenger Championship Group B, scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. Markets span match winner, map-level kill totals (odd/even), and round totals (odd/even), with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market scope is championship-level with a tautological Yes outcome (either team winning triggers Yes), while Polymarket markets are match-specific with genuine binary or statistical outcomes. This is a scope mismatch rather than a data integrity failure, but creates fundamentally different trading dynamics.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi as a match-completion confirmation market (resolves Yes unless forfeit/cancellation). Use Polymarket for actual directional or statistical edge: bet BESTIA or Falcons Force on match winner, or trade odd/even on kills and rounds. Kalshi's Yes-on-any-winner structure means it has no predictive value.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three distinct markets: (1) Match winner (BESTIA vs Falcons Force), (2) Map 1 odd/even kills, (3) Map 1 odd/even rounds. All resolve based on actual match statistics from HLTV.org. Cancellation, forfeit, or >7-day delay triggers 50-50 resolution.
- Kalshi: Single binary market: resolves Yes if either BESTIA or Falcons Force wins the match. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Logically, any match outcome (BESTIA win OR Falcons Force win) = Yes, making this a tautology.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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