TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Nexus (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
Volume:
$55,182
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike 2 best-of-one match between BC.Game Esports and Nexus in the Roman Imperium Cup Group D, scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 4:45 PM ET. Markets track the match winner, and two derivative markets on Map 1 statistics (total kills parity and total rounds parity).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market conflates tournament-level outcome (Roman Imperium Cup 2026 winner) with match-level resolution, while Polymarket markets resolve on the specific match result. Scope mismatch creates potential for divergent outcomes if the match is not played or the tournament is canceled.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market resolves Yes if either team wins the tournament, making it a bet on tournament completion rather than match outcome. Polymarket's match winner is a true head-to-head. Monitor tournament status and match scheduling independently. If the match is forfeited or delayed >7 days without completion, Polymarket resolves 50-50, but Kalshi's resolution depends on whether the tournament itself is canceled or rescheduled.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Tournament-level outcome market. Resolves to Yes if BC.Game Esports OR Nexus wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026, contingent on the match being scheduled for Mar 13, 2026. This is a binary on tournament completion, not match outcome. Key Quote: 'If BC.Game Esports wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: Nexus vs. BC.Game Esports CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Match-level outcome market. Resolves to BC.Game Esports or Nexus based on BO1 match winner. Resolves 50-50 if canceled, delayed >7 days, forfeited, or walkover. Resolution source is HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to "BC.Game Esports" if BC.Game Esports win the match against Nexus.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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