TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Phantom (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
Volume:
$12,774
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-one match between B8 and Phantom scheduled for March 31, 2026, as part of the Parken Challenger Championship Group A. Markets track the match winner, total kills parity on Map 1, and total rounds parity on Map 1.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves on championship outcome (either team winning the tournament), while Polymarket resolves on the specific match result. These are fundamentally different events. Kalshi's market is unresolvable as a match-outcome predictor because both outcomes (Phantom wins championship OR B8 wins championship) resolve to Yes, making the market logically incoherent for match prediction.Hero Tip:
Treat these as separate markets. Kalshi is a tournament-winner bet (both teams winning the championship resolve Yes, which is logically broken). Polymarket is a true match-outcome market. Only trade Polymarket if you want match-level resolution. Kalshi's structure suggests a data entry error—verify the actual Kalshi market terms before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market resolves Yes if Phantom wins the championship OR if B8 wins the championship. This creates a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes resolve identically. The market appears to conflate tournament victory with match participation. Key Quote: 'If Phantom wins the Parken Challenger Championship 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If B8 wins the Parken Challenger Championship 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Market resolves to B8 if B8 wins the match, Phantom if Phantom wins the match. Resolves 50-50 on cancellation, tie, delay beyond 7 days, or forfeit/walkover before start. Forfeits during play resolve to the winning team. Resolution source is HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to B8 if B8 win the match against Phantom. This market will resolve to Phantom if Phantom win the match against B8. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.