TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
Volume:
$1,897,945
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
B8 and Natus Vincere compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match at IEM Rio 2026, originally scheduled for April 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET / 2:00 PM EDT. The event group encompasses series-level outcomes (match winner, total maps), individual map winners, and granular map statistics (kills, rounds). Resolution depends on official HLTV.org reporting, with credible consensus reporting as fallback within 2 hours of event conclusion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different resolution thresholds and timing for the same underlying match. Kalshi resolves on whether over 2.5 maps are played (a binary outcome), while Polymarket includes multiple derivative markets (map winners, odd/even rounds, odd/even kills, handicaps) with distinct resolution conditions and a different scheduled time (2:00 PM EDT vs 10:00 AM ET).Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting purely on series length (3+ maps = Yes). On Polymarket, you have granular exposure to individual map outcomes, round totals, and kill counts. A 2-0 sweep resolves Kalshi to No but still allows Polymarket map-winner and handicap markets to resolve. Ensure your position matches your intended exposure: series length only (Kalshi) or detailed map-level metrics (Polymarket).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single binary market resolving Yes if over 2.5 maps are played (i.e., 3 or more maps), scheduled for April 13, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. The market statement is: 'If over 2.5 maps are played in the IEM Rio 2026: Natus Vincere vs. B8 CS2 match originally scheduled for Apr 13, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 12 separate derivative markets covering series outcome, map handicaps, individual map winners, and odd/even metrics for rounds and kills across Maps 1, 2, and 3. The primary match is scheduled for April 13 at 10:00 AM ET. Each market has its own resolution conditions; for example, the series winner market resolves based on who wins the match, while the Map Handicap (NAVI -1.5) resolves if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more maps than B8. All Polymarket markets reference https://hltv.org as the primary source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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