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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Volume:
$1,420,154

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 6:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$655,922
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
$16,179
$11,983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$520,515
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$183,583
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24,250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,442
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
$3,988
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
$3,585
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,815
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 maps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$821
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,035
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$771
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs Monte (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs Monte (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs Monte (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs Monte (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 24

Intro

This event group tracks the outcome of a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between Aurora Gaming and Monte at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3. The aggregated consensus across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict shows 100.0% probability for the leading outcome. Resolution will be determined by official HLTV.org results, with credible consensus reporting as fallback if HLTV does not publish within 2 hours of match conclusion. Watch for the match scheduled on June 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET to see how the competitive landscape unfolds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All four platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict) apply identical resolution logic for match completion, source authority, edge case handling, and map-specific requirements.Primary resolution logic: Official HLTV.org results, with credible consensus reporting (including video evidence) as fallback if HLTV does not publish within 2 hours of event conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner resolves to the team winning the best-of-3 series (first to 2 map wins).
  • Map winners resolve based on the team winning that specific map, provided the map is played to completion.
  • Map round totals (Over/Under 21.5) resolve based on combined rounds played on that map, including overtime, if the map is completed.
  • Map round handicaps (e.g., Aurora Gaming -3.5) resolve based on the round differential on that map if completed; Aurora Gaming wins the handicap if their round total exceeds opponent's by 4 or more.
  • Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default count toward series totals and handicaps only if the match itself is completed.
  • Team name discrepancies are resolved by identifying the underlying real-world team; recognizable abbreviations, alternate spellings, sponsor tags, and regional identifiers are treated as the same team.
  • Games Total (Over/Under 2.5) resolves to Over if 3 or more maps are played; Under if fewer than 3 maps are played.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Cancellation or No Play: If the match is canceled and not played at all, all markets resolve to 50-50.
  • Delay Beyond 7 Days: If the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date (June 11, 2026) without a winner determined, all markets resolve to 50-50.
  • Pre-Match Forfeit/Walkover: If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover before any play begins, the match winner market resolves to 50-50. Map-specific markets also resolve to 50-50 if the map is not played.
  • Incomplete Match with Mid-Series Forfeit: If the match begins but is not completed and one team wins due to opponent forfeiture/disqualification/walkover during the series, the match winner resolves to the winning team. However, map-specific markets for incomplete maps resolve to 50-50.
  • Clinching Map Forfeited: If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited, this counts as a completed match and the series winner is determined; the forfeited map counts toward totals and handicaps.
  • Map Not Played to Completion: For map-specific markets (winner, round totals, handicaps), if the map is not played at all or is not played to completion, the market resolves to 50-50.
  • Exact Round Total of 21.5: If a map's combined round total is exactly 21.5 (impossible in practice, but per rules), the Over/Under market resolves to 50-50.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon match completion as reported by HLTV.org or credible consensus within 2 hours of the event's conclusion. Map-specific markets resolve based on the completion of that individual map, independent of the overall match outcome. The scheduled match date is June 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET; if not completed within 7 days, unresolved markets default to 50-50.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Aurora Gaming and Monte in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 11 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Monte. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If over 2.5 maps are played in the IEM Cologne Major 2026: Monte vs. Aurora Gaming CS2 match originally scheduled for Jun 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Aurora Gaming and Monte in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 11 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Monte. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently of traditional sportsbooks, so odds often diverge. Prediction market prices reflect real-time consensus from decentralized traders and are updated continuously, whereas sportsbook lines adjust less frequently and include built-in margins. For this Aurora Gaming vs Monte match, prediction markets may react faster to roster news, recent form, or map pool shifts. Comparing the two venues helps identify whether the broader betting market agrees with sportsbook pricing or if sharp traders on prediction platforms see different value in either outcome.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Kalshi serve different user bases, operate under distinct regulatory frameworks, and may track slightly different outcome definitions. Polymarket focuses on the match winner, while Kalshi tracks map count thresholds, creating separate liquidity pools and price discovery mechanisms. Differences in trading volume, user sophistication, and platform mechanics mean odds can diverge meaningfully. Additionally, each platform's fee structure and settlement rules influence how traders price risk, so monitoring both venues reveals whether consensus exists or if arbitrage opportunities persist before the Aurora Gaming vs Monte series begins.