TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Map 2 Winner
- Polymarket
Map 2 Winner - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 23, 2026
Closed: Jul 23, 10:01 AM EST
Polymarket
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs FOKUS (+6.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs FOKUS (+9.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs FOKUS (+6.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs FOKUS (+9.5)
Intro
This market tracks the total number of games in the Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between Aurora Gaming and FOKUS in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, with the consensus indicating a 100.0% probability for Over/Under 2.5 games, aggregated from Polymarket and Limitless, and resolved via https://hltv.org. The match winner market shows a second outcome probability of 0.1%. Watch for the scheduled match on July 23, 2026, as it will determine the final outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Polymarket treats pre-match forfeits/disqualifications as 50-50 resolutions for match winner, while Limitless treats them as decisive wins for the declared winner. Additionally, Polymarket enforces a 7-day cancellation window from scheduled date, while Limitless extends to August 23, 2026.Hero tip: Monitor HLTV and official BLAST communications for any forfeit announcements. If a team forfeits before play begins, expect Polymarket match winner to resolve 50-50 but Limitless to resolve to the declared winner. For map-specific markets on Polymarket, forfeits of the clinching map still count as completed matches. The longer Limitless timeout (31 days vs 7 days) means Polymarket may resolve 50-50 due to delay while Limitless remains open.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Match winner resolves 50-50 if match ends due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before start). Cancellation occurs if delayed beyond 7 days from July 23 without play beginning. Map-specific markets count forfeits toward totals/handicaps if match is completed. Key quote: 'If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.'
- Limitless: Match winner resolves to the team declared winner if either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, regardless of match start status. Timeout is August 23, 2026 23:59 UTC (31 days). Key quote: 'If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started.'
Polymarket
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Aurora Gaming and FOKUS in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 23 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against FOKUS. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between Aurora Gaming and FOKUS in the BLAST Bounty Summer 2026, scheduled for Jul 23, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 23, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks use different mechanisms to set odds. Sportsbooks employ oddsmakers and risk management teams to balance their books; prediction markets rely on trader consensus and supply-and-demand dynamics. This often means prediction market prices react faster to new information and reflect crowd wisdom in real time. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and more liquidity on mainstream events. For esports matches like this one, prediction markets frequently capture specialized trader insight that mainstream books might miss, making them valuable for serious bettors seeking alternative perspectives on competitive outcomes.
Team roster changes, player substitutions, or injury announcements can shift odds significantly before the match begins. Recent performance trends, head-to-head records, and map veto strategies also influence trader positioning. Patch updates or balance changes to the game itself may alter competitive dynamics. Pre-match commentary from analysts and community sentiment can drive momentum in either direction. Closer to the event, warm-up results and official team statements often trigger repricing. Monitor esports news outlets and team social channels for developments that could reshape expectations on this matchup.
