TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 12:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike match between Atreides and SPARTA in the European Pro League Series 8 Group C, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET. Markets span individual map winners, match outcome, total games, map handicap, and per-map round totals across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between Atreides and SPARTA in the European Pro League Series 8 Group C, initially scheduled for July 12 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Atreides" if Atreides win the match against SPARTA. This market will resolve to "SPARTA" if SPARTA win the match against Atreides. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution is determined by the outcome of map 2 in the SPARTA vs. Atreides CS2 match scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT during European Pro League Series 8 2026. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the map.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in margin; prediction markets reflect live consensus from traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. This market's odds on Polymarket and Kalshi update continuously as new information emerges, often moving faster than sportsbook lines. Because traders have direct financial incentive to price outcomes correctly, prediction market odds frequently outperform sportsbook odds at forecasting results, especially in niche esports matchups where traditional bookmakers have less data.
Key catalysts include roster changes, recent team form, head-to-head map history, and player performance in warm-up matches. Injury announcements or lineup substitutions can shift odds significantly, as can surprise upsets in earlier Group C matches that alter playoff seeding pressure. Live in-game momentum—particularly map bans and early round outcomes—will drive sharp repricing as the match unfolds. Community sentiment on team forums and esports media coverage also influences trader positioning, especially if pre-match analysis surfaces new tactical insights or player form concerns.