TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group C
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Atreides vs eternal premium?

Volume:
$152,765

Atreides

 - Kalshi

Atreides - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 6:19 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Atreides

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$43,065
N/A
N/A
$32,568
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$33,933
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$27,900
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: Atreides (-1.5) vs eternal premium (+1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,439
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

eternal premium

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,945
N/A
N/A
$21,401
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$576
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Atreides (-6.5) vs eternal premium (+6.5)

0%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Atreides (-9.5) vs eternal premium (+9.5)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5

0%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Atreides (-3.5) vs eternal premium (+3.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Atreides (-3.5) vs eternal premium (+3.5)

0%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Atreides (-3.5) vs eternal premium (+3.5)

50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Atreides (-6.5) vs eternal premium (+6.5)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

0%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: eternal premium (-3.5) vs Atreides (+3.5)

0%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: eternal premium (-6.5) vs Atreides (+6.5)

0%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 22

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between Atreides and eternal premium scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT in the European Pro League Series 8 Group C. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, round handicaps, and total round counts across all three maps.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: HLTV.org as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus, 7-day delay threshold for 50-50, and consistent treatment of forfeits and incomplete maps.Primary resolution logic: Official HLTV.org; credible reporting with video evidence if HLTV.org does not publish within 2 hours of event conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match Winner (BO3): Atreides or eternal premium resolves based on first team to win 2 maps; ties and incomplete matches resolve 50-50
  • Map Winners (Map 1, 2, 3): Resolves to the team winning that specific map based on round completion; incomplete maps resolve 50-50
  • Games Total (O/U 2.5): Over if 3+ maps played, Under if fewer than 3; forfeits count if match is completed; incomplete forfeits resolve 50-50
  • Map Handicap (Atreides -1.5): Atreides wins if ahead by 2+ maps; forfeits count if match completed; incomplete forfeits resolve 50-50
  • Map Round Handicaps (all maps): Resolves on actual round differential only if map played to completion with rounds; forfeits/walkovers on that map resolve 50-50
  • Map Total Rounds (all maps): Over if combined rounds > 21.5, Under if < 21.5; exact 21.5 resolves 50-50; incomplete maps resolve 50-50
  • Cancellation or 7+ day delay without play: All markets resolve 50-50
  • Forfeits/disqualifications/walkovers: Count toward match completion and map totals if match is completed; resolve 50-50 if match remains incomplete

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Incomplete Map with Forfeit: If a map is not played to completion and one team forfeits, that map counts toward the match total and handicap only if the forfeit results in a completed match (one team reaches 2 map wins). If the match remains incomplete, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Clinching Map Forfeit: If the map that clinches the match (2nd map win for either team) is forfeited, it counts as a completed match and resolves accordingly; the match is considered complete.
  • Exact 21.5 Rounds: If any map totals exactly 21.5 combined rounds (impossible in practice but specified), that market resolves 50-50.
  • Match Delay Beyond 7 Days: If the match is delayed more than 7 days from July 8, 2026 without play beginning, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Team Name Discrepancies: Minor spelling variations, sponsor tags, academy designations, or formatting differences in team names are treated as referring to the same team; if ambiguity prevents unique identification, markets resolve 50-50.
Timing: Resolution occurs within 2 hours after the match concludes (all maps played or match forfeited/completed). If HLTV.org does not publish by then, credible consensus reporting is used. Markets remain open until official result is confirmed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Atreides and eternal premium in the European Pro League Series 8 Group C, initially scheduled for July 8 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Atreides" if Atreides win the match against eternal premium. This market will resolve to "eternal premium" if eternal premium win the match against Atreides. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the eternal premium vs. Atreides CS2 match scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT in the European Pro League Series 8 2026. If eternal premium wins the match, the market resolves to Yes. If Atreides wins the match, the market also resolves to Yes. This structure indicates that the market is designed to capture the match outcome, with resolution contingent on either team's victory in this scheduled European Pro League Series 8 competition.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events through fundamentally different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and risk management, then adjust for volume and liability. Prediction markets instead aggregate trader beliefs in real time, where participants stake capital directly on outcomes. This market-driven pricing often reflects sharper, more dynamic consensus than static sportsbook lines, especially for niche esports events where traditional oddsmakers have limited data. However, prediction market liquidity varies by platform and contract type, which can affect price reliability.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader bases, uses distinct contract designs, and operates under separate regulatory frameworks. Kalshi's binary outcome structure differs fundamentally from Polymarket's handicap-based contracts, meaning the two are not directly comparable despite tracking the same underlying event. Liquidity depth, fee structures, and user demographics also drive pricing divergence. Arbitrage opportunities may exist between platforms, but transaction costs and settlement timing typically prevent perfect price alignment across prediction markets.

Team roster changes, recent tournament performance, and head-to-head historical records typically influence prediction market pricing for esports matchups. Player injuries, stand-in announcements, or coaching changes closer to the fixture date can trigger sharp repricing. Map pool updates and meta shifts in the competitive Counter-Strike landscape may also shift trader sentiment. Live match momentum during the series itself—particularly after map one results—often drives significant intraday volatility as new information becomes available to the market.