TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$230,557,910

24H TRANSACTIONS:

531,611,392

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,202,344,730

501,342

Markets across

13,602

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,822

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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kalshi
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Trending

Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs

Volume:
$57,170
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

ARCRED and MOUZ NXT compete in a Best-of-3 (BO3) Counter-Strike match during the European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs Quarterfinal, scheduled for April 12, 2024 at 4:00 AM ET. The event group encompasses markets covering the overall match winner, map-by-map outcomes, handicap spreads, and granular statistics (kills and rounds per map). All markets reference HLTV.org as the primary resolution authority with a 2-hour publication window before fallback to credible consensus reporting.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on the scope of resolution. Kalshi resolves based on the tournament winner (MOUZ NXT or ARCRED winning the entire European Pro League Series 6), while Polymarket resolves based on the specific head-to-head BO3 match outcome between these two teams in the Quarterfinal.

Hero Tip:

If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on who wins the entire EPL S6 tournament, not just the ARCRED vs MOUZ NXT match. On Polymarket, you are betting on the direct match result. These are fundamentally different events — a team can win the match but lose the tournament, or vice versa. Verify which event you intend to trade before placing bets.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if either MOUZ NXT or ARCRED wins the entire European Pro League Series 6 2026 tournament. The match scheduled for April 12 is only mentioned as a reference point for timing, not as the settlement event. Key quote: 'If MOUZ NXT wins the European Pro League Series 6 2026... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If ARCRED wins the European Pro League Series 6 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves based on the direct BO3 match outcome between ARCRED and MOUZ NXT in the Quarterfinal (Quarterfinal 1), not the tournament winner. Resolves to 'ARCRED' if ARCRED wins the match, 'MOUZ NXT' if MOUZ NXT wins the match. Key quote: 'This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between ARCRED and MOUZ NXT' and 'This market will resolve to ARCRED if ARCRED win the match against MOUZ NXT.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.