TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs AaB Esport (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs
Volume:
$102,602
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks the outcome of a Counter-Strike 2 Best-of-Three match between ARCRED and AaB Esport scheduled for April 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT as part of the European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs. The markets resolve based on which team wins the match, with resolution tied to the official tournament result.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on the scope of the underlying event. Kalshi's market resolves YES if either team wins the European Pro League Series 6 2026 (the tournament), while Polymarket's markets resolve based on the specific Round of 16 match outcome between ARCRED and AaB Esport. These are fundamentally different events with different resolution criteria.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on the tournament winner (either ARCRED or AaB Esport winning EPL Series 6), not the head-to-head match. On Polymarket, you are betting on the specific match result. Do not assume these markets track the same outcome — a team can win the match but lose the tournament, or vice versa.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market resolves YES if either ARCRED or AaB Esport wins the entire European Pro League Series 6 2026 tournament, regardless of the head-to-head match outcome. The market states 'If AaB esport wins the European Pro League Series 6 2026... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If ARCRED wins the European Pro League Series 6 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a tournament-winner market, not a match-outcome market.
- Polymarket: Aligned with the match-specific resolution framework: Polymarket's markets (match winner, map winners, rounds, kills, handicaps) all resolve based on the specific Round of 16 match between ARCRED and AaB Esport on April 8, 2026. The primary market states 'This market will resolve to ARCRED if ARCRED win the match against AaB Esport' and includes detailed match-specific rules for forfeits, ties, delays, and map-level outcomes. All Polymarket markets in this group are tied to the head-to-head match result, not the tournament outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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