TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 10:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Alpha Dominion Nation and Vitality Academy in the United21 Group C, initially scheduled for July 5 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alpha Dominion Nation" if Alpha Dominion Nation win the match against Vitality Academy. This market will resolve to "Vitality Academy" if Vitality Academy win the match against Alpha Dominion Nation. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Alpha Dominion Nation and Vitality Academy in the United21 Group C, initially scheduled for July 5 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alpha Dominion Nation" if Alpha Dominion Nation win the match against Vitality Academy. This market will resolve to "Vitality Academy" if Vitality Academy win the match against Alpha Dominion Nation. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs about the outcome. Prediction markets can sometimes price events more accurately because traders have direct financial exposure, whereas sportsbooks may shade lines based on public betting patterns. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether professional bettors and casual traders see the match differently.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) model where traders buy and sell outcome shares, and the price adjusts based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into one outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This continuous pricing mechanism means odds update in real time as new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and the transparent order book shows you exactly what prices are available at each moment.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect which team wins the best-of-three series under the tournament rules governing the event. Resolution occurs after the final map is played and the winner is officially confirmed, ensuring all traders have access to the same authoritative information. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on team performance, roster changes, or other factors traders believe will influence the result.
Several factors could shift odds before the match concludes. Recent roster changes, player substitutions, or injury announcements affecting either team will likely trigger repricing as traders reassess competitive balance. Performance in preceding tournament rounds, map veto strategies, and head-to-head historical records may also influence sentiment. Streaming commentary, analyst predictions, or betting activity on external sportsbooks can create momentum in either direction. Additionally, any technical issues or unexpected delays could introduce uncertainty that traders price into their positions, causing volatility in the final hours before play begins.