TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
limitless
polymarket

Who will win Alliance vs Wildcard?

Volume:
$1,207,997

Wildcard

 - Limitless

Wildcard - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 21, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 4:13 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

Wildcard

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-0.2¢
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: WC (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Wildcard (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Wildcard (-9.5) vs Alliance (+9.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Wildcard (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)

50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
$4,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$568,259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$343,935
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$243,773
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Alliance

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
N/A
$1,530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,019
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-6.5) vs Wildcard (+6.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Wildcard (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Wildcard (-9.5) vs Alliance (+9.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 23

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between Alliance and Wildcard in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, specifically focusing on the map handicap where Wildcard is -1.5 and Alliance is +1.5. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 100.0%. Data is drawn from Limitless and Polymarket, with resolution details provided by https://hltv.org. Watch for the match scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, as this will determine the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Limitless apply opposite resolution logic for forfeit/disqualification scenarios in match winner markets. Polymarket defaults to 50-50 for incomplete forfeits; Limitless resolves to the declared winner.Hero tip: Monitor match status on HLTV.org in real-time. If a forfeit or disqualification occurs, Polymarket traders should expect 50-50 resolution on match outcome and handicap markets, while Limitless traders should expect resolution to the winner. For map-specific markets, only completed maps (decided by actual rounds) resolve to a team on Polymarket; forfeited maps resolve 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Match outcome and handicap markets resolve 50-50 if the match ends in forfeit, disqualification, or walkover before completion. Map-specific markets (Map 1/2/3 winners, round handicaps, round totals) also resolve 50-50 if the map is not played to completion or is decided by forfeit rather than actual rounds. Quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • Limitless: Match outcome resolves to the team declared winner regardless of forfeit, disqualification, or walkover status. Quote: 'If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Alliance and Wildcard in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 21 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against Wildcard. This market will resolve to "Wildcard" if Wildcard win the match against Alliance. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Limitless

This market refers to the match between Alliance and Wildcard in the BLAST Bounty Summer 2026, scheduled for Jul 21, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Limitless for the Alliance vs Wildcard esports match, enabling traders to monitor real-time odds and consensus views on multiple outcomes simultaneously. The cross-platform view reveals how each venue prices different aspects of the matchup—from map-specific handicaps to outright winner predictions. By tracking volume and probability shifts across both platforms, you gain insight into where the broader prediction market community expects value, helping inform your trading decisions on this market before resolution.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects real-time consensus from thousands of independent participants rather than a single operator's margin. Prediction market odds often incorporate faster-moving information and can diverge significantly from sportsbook lines, especially in niche esports events where traditional betting volume is lower. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where informed traders see edge.

Team roster changes, recent tournament performance, and head-to-head map history are key catalysts that shift odds on this market. Injury or roster announcements, coaching changes, or public statements from players can trigger sharp repricing. Pre-match scrims or leaked practice footage may signal team form, while betting action from known sharp traders often precedes significant moves. Map veto strategy and side selection (CT or T start) can also influence round-based markets. Monitor esports news outlets and team social media closely; prediction markets react quickly to new information, rewarding traders who spot developments first.