TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Nexus (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
Volume:
$9,253
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-one match between Alliance and Nexus in the Roman Imperium Cup Group D, scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets track the match winner, Map 1 round parity, and Map 1 kill parity across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi define fundamentally different market scopes and edge-case handling. Polymarket offers three linked markets with explicit 7-day delay thresholds and forfeit rules; Kalshi offers a single binary outcome with no delay or cancellation logic specified.Hero Tip:
Traders holding positions on both platforms should monitor HLTV.org for match delays, forfeits, or administrative changes. A delay beyond 7 days or a forfeit before match start will trigger 50-50 resolution on Polymarket but may leave Kalshi unresolved. Align your hedge strategy with the most conservative interpretation: assume Kalshi defaults to No if the match does not complete as scheduled.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: (1) Match Winner resolves to Alliance or Nexus if either wins; 50-50 if canceled, tied, delayed >7 days, or forfeited before start. (2) Map 1 Rounds (Odd/Even) resolves based on total combined rounds; 50-50 if map not played, delayed >7 days, or series clinched early. (3) Map 1 Kills (Odd/Even) resolves based on total combined kills; 50-50 if no kills, map not played, delayed >7 days, or series clinched early. Primary source: HLTV.org within 2 hours; fallback to credible consensus with video evidence. Key Quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Single binary market: resolves Yes if Alliance wins OR Nexus wins the match. No explicit handling of cancellations, ties, delays, or forfeits. No resolution source, timing criteria, or fallback logic specified. Key Quote: 'If Alliance wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: Nexus vs. Alliance CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nexus wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: Nexus vs. Alliance CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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