TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group D
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win ALKA vs paiN Academy?

Volume:
$86,660

ALKA

 - Kalshi

ALKA - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 7:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

ALKA

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40,451
N/A
N/A
$24,422
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

paiN Academy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,928
N/A
N/A
$19,650
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,870
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between ALKA and paiN Academy in the Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group D, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. Markets track the match winner, total maps played, and individual map outcomes across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines a comprehensive four-market suite with explicit edge-case rules (forfeits, walkovers, cancellations, 7-day delays, incomplete matches). Kalshi defines a single binary yes/no market with no explicit handling of forfeits, walkovers, or cancellations, creating ambiguity in non-standard completion scenarios.Hero tip: Polymarket offers granular control and clarity; trade map-level markets only if you are confident in HLTV.org's timeliness. Kalshi's binary is simpler but riskier in forfeit scenarios—clarify with Kalshi support whether a forfeit counts as a win for the non-forfeiting team (Yes) or an unresolved event (No/void). For both platforms, monitor the match status in real-time and confirm completion within 2 hours post-event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Four distinct markets: Match Winner (ALKA/paiN Academy/50-50), Total Maps (Over 2.5/Under 2.5), Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner. Forfeits on clinching map count as completed match. Incomplete matches or forfeits before clinching map resolve 50-50. 7-day delay without winner = 50-50. Source: HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Key Quote: 'If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.'
  • Kalshi: Single binary market: Yes if paiN Academy wins OR Yes if ALKA wins the CS2 match scheduled Jun 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. No explicit rules for forfeits, walkovers, cancellations, or incomplete matches. No source specified. Key Quote: 'If paiN Academy wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If ALKA wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between ALKA and paiN Academy in the Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group D, initially scheduled for June 30 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ALKA" if ALKA win the match against paiN Academy. This market will resolve to "paiN Academy" if paiN Academy win the match against ALKA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the paiN Academy vs. ALKA CS2 match in the Gamers Club Liga Série A scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. The market resolves to Yes if either paiN Academy or ALKA wins the match. The winner of this head-to-head competition will determine the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events through fundamentally different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and manage risk via margin; prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous order books or automated market makers. This market reflects pure trader conviction without a bookmaker's built-in edge, often resulting in tighter spreads and faster price discovery around esports outcomes. However, sportsbook liquidity and regulatory oversight can sometimes offer more stable pricing for high-volume events.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and settlement rules, which naturally creates price variation. Polymarket's automated market maker model may price outcomes differently than Kalshi's order-book mechanism, especially during low-volume periods. Geographic restrictions, platform-specific incentives, and varying liquidity pools also influence how quickly new information is reflected. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but temporary divergence remains common in esports markets where real-time data and event volatility can surprise different user bases at different times.

Team roster changes, player injuries, or last-minute lineup substitutions can significantly shift odds before the match begins. Recent performance data, head-to-head records, and tournament momentum for both squads will influence trader positioning. Broadcast delays, technical issues, or official postponements could also trigger repricing as participants reassess timing risk. Monitor team social media, esports news outlets, and the official Gamers Club Liga schedule for updates that might alter expectations around match competitiveness or duration.