TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Acend vs CarritoSpain (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
Volume:
$154,147
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-one match between Acend and CarritoSpain scheduled for March 29, 2026, as part of the Roman Imperium Cup Group D. Markets span match outcome prediction, Map 1 round parity, and Map 1 kill parity, with resolution tied to official HLTV reporting.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible tournament outcomes (Acend wins cup OR CarritoSpain wins cup) resolve to Yes, making it non-binary and unresolvable. Polymarket and the primary match market correctly reference the specific BO1 match result, not the tournament outcome.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is fundamentally broken. Trade only the Polymarket match outcome market and the Map 1 statistical markets (odd/even rounds and kills), which have clear, coherent resolution logic tied to HLTV official data.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: References tournament-level outcome (Roman Imperium Cup 2026 winner) with contradictory logic: both Acend and CarritoSpain winning the cup resolve to Yes. This makes the market non-binary and logically incoherent. Quote: 'If CarritoSpain wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If Acend wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket (Match Outcome): Resolves to Acend or CarritoSpain based on the specific BO1 match result on March 29, 2026. Resolves 50-50 on cancellation, tie, delay beyond 7 days, or forfeit. Source: HLTV with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Acend if Acend win the match against CarritoSpain. This market will resolve to CarritoSpain if CarritoSpain win the match against Acend.'
- Polymarket (Map 1 Rounds & Kills): Resolve to Odd or Even based on total combined rounds or kills in Map 1 only. Both resolve 50-50 if Map 1 is not played, canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, forfeited, or series is decided before Map 1. Source: HLTV with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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