TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market group tracks the outcome of a Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three (BO3) match between AaB Esport and Lilmix scheduled for March 29, 2026, as part of the European Pro League Series 6 Group B competition. The market resolves based on which team wins the match, with both platforms appearing to reference the same underlying event.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on the outcome of the European Pro League Series 6 tournament itself (whether AaB Esport or Lilmix wins the entire league), while Polymarket resolves on the specific BO3 match between these teams scheduled for March 29, 2026. These are distinct underlying events with no logical connection.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket markets move together. Kalshi's YES resolves if either team wins the entire EPL S6 tournament—a season-long outcome. Polymarket's markets resolve on the single BO3 match result. A team can win the match but lose the tournament, or lose the match but still win the tournament. Treat these as completely independent betting events.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi resolves on the tournament-level outcome, not the match. Both markets (items 1 and 2) resolve YES if either AaB Esport or Lilmix wins the European Pro League Series 6 2026 tournament, with the match scheduled for March 29 serving only as a reference point. Key quote: 'If AaB esport wins the European Pro League Series 6 2026: Lilmix vs. AaB esport CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with match-level resolution: Polymarket resolves on the specific BO3 match result and individual map outcomes. All 10 markets (items 4–23) depend on the actual match between AaB Esport and Lilmix played on March 29, 2026, with resolution source HLTV.org. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to AaB Esport if AaB Esport win the match against Lilmix' and 'The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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