TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive Best-of-One match between AaB Esport and Falcons Force in the Parken Challenger Championship Group B, scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The group includes three markets: match winner (binary outcome), Map 1 total kills parity (odd/even), and Map 1 total rounds parity (odd/even). All markets reference HLTV.org as the primary resolution source with a 2-hour publication window before fallback to credible reporting.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi resolve on fundamentally different events. Polymarket resolves on the outcome of the specific AaB Esport vs Falcons Force BO1 match scheduled for March 31, 2026. Kalshi resolves on whether either team wins the entire Parken Challenger Championship 2026, which is a tournament-level outcome unrelated to the specific match result.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on the head-to-head match result only. If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on tournament championship outcome, which depends on multiple matches and results beyond this single fixture. These markets will almost certainly resolve to different outcomes—do not assume they track the same event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier: Resolves on the specific BO1 match outcome between AaB Esport and Falcons Force scheduled for March 31, 2026. Market resolves to 'AaB Esport' if AaB wins, 'Falcons Force' if Falcons Force wins, or 50-50 if canceled, tied, delayed beyond 7 days, or forfeited before start. Source is HLTV.org. Quote: 'This market will resolve to AaB Esport if AaB Esport win the match against Falcons Force.'Kalshi:
Outlier: Resolves to YES if either Falcons Force OR AaB esport wins the entire Parken Challenger Championship 2026 tournament (not just the head-to-head match). This is a tournament-level outcome that depends on multiple matches and playoff results, not the single March 31 fixture. Quote: 'If Falcons Force wins the Parken Challenger Championship 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If AaB esport wins the Parken Challenger Championship 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
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