TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
%20scale(0.82)%20translate(-12.5%20-12.5)'%3e%3cpath%20fill='%23000'%20fill-rule='evenodd'%20d='M9.619%2012.69h12.995a1.382%201.382%200%200%200%200-2.76h-3.932l5.298-5.405.032-.032L22.08%202.56h-5.255V1.38c0-.76-.619-1.38-1.38-1.38H9.81c-.76%200-1.38.62-1.38%201.38V11.5c0%20.657.534%201.19%201.19%201.19m12.995-2.186h-5.3l5.89-6.01-1.139-1.139-5.813%205.933V1.38a.806.806%200%200%200-.805-.806.806.806%200%200%200-.805.806v9.545c0%20.656.533%201.19%201.189%201.19h6.783a.806.806%200%200%200%200-1.612'%20clip-rule='evenodd'/%3e%3cpath%20fill='%23000'%20fill-rule='evenodd'%20d='M14.393%2011.31H1.398a1.382%201.382%200%200%200%200%202.76H5.33L.032%2019.476%200%2019.507l1.931%201.933h5.255v1.18c0%20.76.619%201.38%201.379%201.38h5.638c.76%200%201.38-.62%201.38-1.38V12.5c0-.657-.534-1.19-1.19-1.19m.293%2011.31a.8.8%200%200%201-.788.805.797.797%200%200%201-.787-.805v-7.904l-5.69%205.928-1.113-1.139%205.764-6.005H6.884a.797.797%200%200%201-.787-.806c0-.444.353-.806.787-.806h6.638c.642%200%201.164.534%201.164%201.19z'%20clip-rule='evenodd'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e){kind=avatar}
EYEBALLERS
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Limitless
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 1, 2026
Closed: Jul 1, 9:09 AM EST
Kalshi
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-One match between 9z and EYEBALLERS in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. Markets span match winner outcomes, map-level round totals, and round handicaps, all resolving to official HLTV.org data or credible consensus reporting.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction (both outcomes resolve to Yes), and forfeit/walkover handling diverges significantly across platforms. Limitless treats all official decisions as valid wins; Predict and Polymarket treat pre-match forfeits as 50-50 but mid-match forfeits as valid wins.Hero tip: Kalshi markets are fundamentally unresolvable due to contradictory resolution logic. For Limitless, Predict, and Polymarket, monitor match status closely: if the match is canceled or forfeited before play begins, Predict and Polymarket resolve 50-50 while Limitless resolves to the declared winner. If play begins and one team forfeits mid-match, all three platforms resolve to the winner.Critical divergence points:
- Limitless: Match winner resolves to the team declared winner by official sources, including forfeit, disqualification, or walkover outcomes regardless of timing. Key quote: 'If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner.'
- Predict: Match winner resolves to 50-50 if match is canceled, ends in tie, delayed beyond 7 days, or ends in forfeit/disqualification/walkover before start. If match begins and opponent forfeits, resolves to winner. Key quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Polymarket: Match winner follows Predict logic: pre-match forfeit/walkover resolves 50-50; mid-match forfeit resolves to winner. Map-level markets (rounds over/under, handicap) require Map 1 to be played to completion; forfeit/walkover on Map 1 resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Resolution logic is contradictory and unresolvable. Market states: 'If EYEBALLERS wins... then resolves to Yes' AND 'If 9z wins... then resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility.
Polymarket
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between 9z and EYEBALLERS in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against EYEBALLERS. This market will resolve to "EYEBALLERS" if EYEBALLERS win the match against 9z. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by the outcome of the EYEBALLERS vs. 9z CS2 match in the XSE Pro League 2026, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match.
Predict
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between 9z and EYEBALLERS in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against EYEBALLERS. This market will resolve to "EYEBALLERS" if EYEBALLERS win the match against 9z. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between 9z and EYEBALLERS in the XSE Pro League 2026, scheduled for Jul 1, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally produces price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have distinct user bases with varying confidence levels or information access regarding team performance and matchup dynamics. Arbitrage opportunities between the two venues can persist if traders lack capital or face friction costs moving between platforms. Over time, prices tend to converge as informed traders exploit gaps, but temporary divergence is normal and reflects the decentralized nature of prediction markets.
Key catalysts include roster announcements or last-minute lineup changes, injury reports affecting star players, recent tournament results or head-to-head records, and team-specific form trends in the weeks leading up to the match. Tactical shifts, coaching changes, or public statements from team management can also shift trader sentiment. Map selection (if announced early) and betting-market activity on external sportsbooks may influence prediction market prices as well. Monitor esports news outlets and official team social channels for updates that could reshape expectations before the match begins.