TOTAL VOLUME:

$148.5b

24H VOL:

$251,268,536

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,817,056,367

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,864,438,999

455,542

Markets across

34,846

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,830

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A
predict
polymarket

What is the result of 9z vs Aurora Gaming?

Volume:
$2,283,393

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 7:48 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,224,996
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$18,961
$27,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$459,372
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$32,113
$32,560
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$311,892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$14,807
$21,712
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$256
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$180,861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$28
$1,405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$117
$943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)

50%
4%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

50%
3%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match between 9z and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, specifically focusing on whether Aurora Gaming will win at least four more rounds than 9z on the third map. Currently, the consensus probability of Aurora Gaming (-3.5) winning against 9z (+3.5) is 100.0%. This aggregate view combines data from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official results reported by hltv.org. Keep an eye on the match schedule, as the resolution date is estimated for October 14, 2026, representing the expected completion of the Thunderpick World Championship.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same resolution source (hltv.org) and have identical logic for handling postponements, cancellations, forfeits, and incomplete matches.Primary resolution logic: https://hltv.org

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the official results published on hltv.org.
  • If hltv.org results are unavailable within 2 hours, a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence will be used.
  • Matches postponed must be rescheduled within 14 days (October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET) to resolve based on the played result; otherwise, they resolve to 50-50.
  • Forfeits, disqualifications, or walkovers resolving before the match start result in a 50-50 resolution.
  • Forfeits on a clinching map count as a completed match.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Incomplete Match: If a match begins but is not completed, and a winner is determined, the market resolves based on the completed portion. If a map is not completed, it resolves to 50-50.
  • Team Name Discrepancies: Minor discrepancies in team names (abbreviations, sponsors, etc.) will be resolved based on the underlying real-world match, provided the intended team is clearly identifiable.
  • Cancellation: If the match is canceled (not played at all), the markets resolve to 50-50.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the match, or after the postponement deadline has passed, based on the criteria outlined above.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between 9z and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against 9z. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Predict

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between 9z and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against 9z. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Counter-Strike Thunderpick World Championship match between 9z and Aurora Gaming. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $2,283,393, with $2,263,080 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a consensus view of probabilities, though individual platform pricing can vary. It’s designed to give a comprehensive overview of what traders believe will happen in this best-of-three series, reflecting collective intelligence on the potential winner.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbooks must account for profit margins and potential biases. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they differ significantly from the prediction market prices, and arbitrage opportunities may exist between the two.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds on this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for 9z or Aurora Gaming could significantly impact prices. Major upsets in other matches within the Thunderpick World Championship could also affect perceptions of team strength and influence trading behavior. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also introduce volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves before it resolves.