TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.9b
24H VOL:
$163,854,306
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,185,829,855
506,570
Markets across
13,801
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,985
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Nebula In Chaox (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A
Volume:
$10,255
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-one match between 9INE and Nebula In Chaox in the Roman Imperium Cup Group A, scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Markets track the match winner, and two Map 1 prop bets on total rounds (odd/even) and total kills (odd/even).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market language conflates match outcome with tournament outcome ('wins the Roman Imperium Cup'), while Polymarket explicitly resolves on match winner only. This creates logical contradiction: a team can win the match but lose the tournament, or vice versa.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market until clarification is published. If Kalshi intends binary match resolution (Yes for any winner), request explicit amendment. If Kalshi requires tournament victory, the market cannot resolve from match data and requires post-tournament oracle confirmation, introducing unacceptable settlement delay and dispute risk.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Match winner market: resolves to the team that wins the BO1 match on March 12. Map 1 props resolve based on HLTV round and kill statistics. Source: HLTV.org within 2 hours of match conclusion, or credible consensus. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to 9INE if 9INE win the match against Nebula In Chaox.'
- Kalshi: Tournament outcome market: resolves Yes if either team wins the match, but phrasing suggests tournament victory ('wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026') rather than match victory. Scope is ambiguous. Key Quote: 'If Nebula In Chaox wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: Nebula In Chaox vs. 9INE CS2 match... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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