TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs JiJieHao (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A
Volume:
$19,310
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-one match between 9INE and JiJieHao in the Roman Imperium Cup Group A, scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets track the match winner, Map 1 round totals (odd/even), and Map 1 kill totals (odd/even), with resolution sourced from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market references tournament-level outcome (Roman Imperium Cup winner) rather than the specific BO1 match result, creating a logical contradiction where the market guarantees Yes resolution regardless of actual match performance. Polymarket correctly ties resolution to the specific match outcome.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is fundamentally unresolvable as intended—it conflates tournament victory with match outcome. Avoid trading Kalshi. Trade Polymarket's match winner and Map 1 markets (odd/even rounds and kills) which have clear, match-specific resolution tied to HLTV.org official statistics.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if either 9INE or JiJieHao wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026, creating a tautology. Since exactly one team must win the tournament, this market always resolves Yes regardless of the March 12 BO1 match result. Quote: 'If 9INE wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If JiJieHao wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Match winner market resolves to 9INE or JiJieHao based on HLTV.org official match result. Resolves 50-50 if match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, ends in forfeit/walkover, or does not complete. Quote: 'This market will resolve to the team who wins' with source HLTV.org within 2 hours of conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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