This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between 9INE and fnatic in the Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), map total (Over/Under 2.5), and map handicaps for both teams. All markets reference HLTV.org as the primary resolution source with a 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Kalshi and Polymarket share identical resolution sources (HLTV.org primary, credible reporting fallback), matching edge-case logic for forfeits, cancellations, and delays, and consistent counting rules for maps including those won by default or disqualification.
Primary resolution logic:
HLTV.org (official); credible reporting with video evidence if HLTV.org does not publish within 2 hours of event conclusion
Core resolution logic:
Match winner (9INE vs fnatic): First team to win 2 maps in the BO3 wins the match
Map totals (Over/Under 2.5): Over resolves if 3+ maps are played; Under resolves if fewer than 3 maps are played
Individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2): Resolves to the team that wins the specified map if completed
Map handicaps (FNC -1.5 vs 9INE +1.5 and 9INE -1.5 vs FNC +1.5): Resolves based on which team wins 2 or more maps than the opponent
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default count toward all totals and handicaps if the match is completed
Cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days without play beginning: all markets resolve 50-50
Match begins but incomplete with one team winning via opponent forfeiture/disqualification/walkover: match winner resolves to winning team; map totals and handicaps resolve 50-50
Match ends due to clinching map being forfeited: counts as completed match for totals and handicaps
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Incomplete match with forfeiture: If the match begins but is not completed and one team wins due to opponent forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match winner market resolves to the winning team. However, map totals and handicap markets resolve 50-50 because the series was not completed in normal play.
Forfeit before match start: If the match ends in forfeit, disqualification, or walkover before the match begins (team withdraws and the other wins automatically), the match winner market resolves 50-50.
Incomplete individual map: If a specific map (Map 1 or Map 2) is not completed for any reason, that map's winner market resolves 50-50. This applies even if the overall match continues.
Delay beyond 7 days: If the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date (March 7, 2026) without play beginning, all markets resolve 50-50.
Clinching map forfeited: If the match ends due to the clinching map (the map that decides the series) being forfeited, this counts as a completed match for map totals and handicap resolution purposes.
Timing:
Resolution occurs within 2 hours after the match concludes on HLTV.org. If HLTV.org does not publish results within 2 hours, credible reporting with video evidence may be used. Markets resolve 50-50 if the match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without play, or ends in a tie.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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