TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 12:19 PM EST
Kalshi
A best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match between 1WIN and TDK in the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT. Markets span match outcome, individual map winners, round totals per map, map count handicap, and series length, with resolution sourced from HLTV.org.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between 1WIN and TDK in the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 14 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win the match against TDK. This market will resolve to "TDK" if TDK win the match against 1WIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution is determined by the outcome of the NODWIN Clutch Series 2026: TDK vs. 1WIN CS2 match scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi and Polymarket serve different trader demographics and operate under distinct rule sets, leading to price divergence on the same event. Kalshi's regulatory framework and user base may prioritize match-winner outcomes, while Polymarket's structure emphasizes derivatives like game totals. Liquidity imbalances, fee structures, and settlement timing also drive wedges between platforms. Monitoring both prices helps identify arbitrage opportunities and reveals which outcome interpretation the broader market favors most strongly.
Key catalysts include roster announcements or player substitutions, recent tournament results and head-to-head records, injury or availability updates, and pre-match interviews or team statements. Scrim results and community sentiment can also shift trader positioning. Once the series begins, live map outcomes and round momentum will drive sharp intraday repricing. Broader esports news—sponsorship changes, org restructuring, or meta shifts in the game—may influence longer-term team strength assessments. Monitor team social media and esports news outlets for breaking developments.