TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 9:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This event examines the victory margin in the Cottbus vs Augsburg match. It determines whether Cottbus secures a comfortable win or Augsburg prevails by a notable margin within the standard match duration.
The market resolves based on the goal differential if Cottbus or Augsburg wins the DFB Pokal match scheduled for August 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four specific outcome thresholds are evaluated: Cottbus wins by more than 2.5 goals, Cottbus wins by more than 1.5 goals, Augsburg wins by more than 1.5 goals, and Augsburg wins by more than 2.5 goals. If the actual goal differential meets or exceeds any specified threshold for the respective team, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks can show different implied probabilities for this market. While sportsbooks set their lines based on sharp handicappers and public betting patterns, prediction markets let traders bet directly on expected outcomes. This creates a dynamic price that may diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads, reflecting real-time sentiment and new information as the match approaches.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential at the end of regulation time will set the result, closing all positions based on that definitive figure.