TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 9:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming soccer match by winning by a margin of more than 1.5 goals. It specifically tracks performance during the initial 45 minutes of play, ignoring the final outcome of the full match. The event is tied to a professional league game scheduled for a specific date.
The event determines whether either Correcaminos or Tepatitlan will secure a first-half victory by a margin exceeding 1.5 goals in their scheduled Liga de Expansion MX match. If Correcaminos achieves this dominance in the opening half, the market resolves positively for that outcome. Conversely, if Tepatitlan accomplishes the same feat, the market resolves positively for the opposing outcome. Only goals scored before halftime break are considered for resolution. Should the match be canceled or postponed by more than 48 hours, the market will instead resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants based on the synthesized conditions of both primary rules.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends solely on the actual first-half score difference, regardless of later match developments or external opinions. Once the halftime whistle blows, the spread is fixed and the market settles automatically based on that snapshot.
Key signals include coach announcements about starting lineups, weather updates affecting play style, and early in-game momentum swings captured in live commentary. Any development hinting at a stronger or weaker start from either team can shift trader sentiment rapidly. Injuries to key attackers or defensive changes may also reshape expectations for the first half spread before the match begins.