This event group covers the NCAA Division I men's college basketball game between Cornell Big Red and Dartmouth Big Green scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread (-5.5), and over/under (165.5 total points) outcomes.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both Cornell win and Dartmouth win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the binary outcome indeterminate. Additionally, Kalshi lacks edge-case handling (postponement, cancellation) present in Polymarket markets.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The Polymarket moneyline, spread, and over/under markets have internally consistent, mutually exclusive resolution logic tied to NCAA.com as the official source. Request immediate clarification from Kalshi on whether the market should be Yes/No (Cornell only) or if there is a documentation error.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three distinct markets with clear, mutually exclusive outcomes. Moneyline: Cornell Big Red or Dartmouth Big Green. Spread (-5.5): Cornell by 6+ points or Dartmouth covers. Over/Under (165.5): Combined score 166+ (Over) or less than 166 (Under). All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Source: NCAA.com. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Kalshi: Single market with logical contradiction. States: 'If Cornell wins... resolves to Yes. If Dartmouth wins... resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to identical resolution value (Yes), creating an impossible binary contract. No postponement or cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Cornell wins the Cornell at Dartmouth men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dartmouth wins the Cornell at Dartmouth men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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