TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 8:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts the exact final score of the Brasileiro Serie A match between Coritiba FC PR and SE Palmeiras SP on July 22, 2026. The final score is determined after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the exact final score of the Coritiba FC PR vs SE Palmeiras SP professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, as determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Possible outcomes include draws (0-0, 1-1, 2-2, 3-3), victories for SE Palmeiras SP ranging from 1-0 to 5-2, and victories for Coritiba FC PR ranging from 1-0 to 5-2. Each specific scoreline represents a distinct resolution outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. In this market, traders are directly exposed to the outcome and profit or lose based on accuracy, which can push odds closer to true probabilities over time. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks reveals whether professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders agree on the likely correct score, or where meaningful disagreement exists.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible correct score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out a fixed amount if that exact scoreline occurs, and traders profit by buying low and selling high as new information arrives. The price of each outcome share directly reflects the market's implied probability; a share trading at 0.25 implies a 25% chance. Spreads between bid and ask prices tighten as volume increases, rewarding active participation and providing real-time signals about which scores traders view as most likely.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the Coritiba versus Palmeiras match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation play. Traders holding shares in the correct score receive their payout automatically, while all other outcomes expire worthless. Resolution is typically confirmed within hours of the final whistle, allowing quick settlement and payout distribution to winners.
Key catalysts include team news such as injury announcements, lineup confirmations, or managerial changes that affect either side's attacking or defensive strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any tactical adjustments revealed in pre-match press conferences can shift trader expectations about likely scorelines. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence scoring patterns. As kickoff approaches, odds typically tighten around the most probable outcomes. Once the match begins, live scoring events—early goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will cause rapid repricing across all score predictions in this market.