This event group covers a Brasileirão match between Coritiba FBC and São Paulo FC scheduled for February 25–26, 2026. Markets span spread bets (goal-margin outcomes), over/under totals (combined goals), and both-teams-to-score. Resolution depends on the official final score from cbf.com.br within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Date discrepancy (Polymarket: Feb 26, 6:00 PM ET vs. Kalshi: Feb 25, 2026) and threshold phrasing divergence (Polymarket: 'X or more' vs. Kalshi: 'more than X.5'). Both use identical resolution logic for goal totals when interpreted consistently.
Hero Tip:
Verify the official match date and time via cbf.com.br. Treat 'X or more' (Polymarket) and 'more than X-0.5' (Kalshi) as mathematically equivalent. Monitor for postponement; Polymarket explicitly holds markets open, Kalshi's policy is unstated. Confirm final score source is cbf.com.br on both platforms.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Match scheduled February 26, 6:00 PM ET. Spread markets resolve on win-by-N logic (e.g., Coritiba -2.5 = Coritiba wins by 3+). O/U markets use 'combine to score 3 or more' for Over at 2.5 threshold. Source: cbf.com.br. Postponement: market remains open until completion. Cancellation: 50-50 split.
Kalshi: Match scheduled February 25, 2026. O/U markets use 'more than X.5' phrasing (e.g., 'more than 2.5' = 3+ goals, 'more than 3.5' = 4+ goals). No explicit source or postponement/cancellation policy stated in provided descriptions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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