TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Coritiba FBC vs. São Paulo FC
Volume:
$50,365
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between Coritiba FBC and São Paulo FC scheduled for late February 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the final outcome (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Date discrepancy (Feb 25 vs Feb 26) and contradictory cancellation logic across platforms, particularly for the draw outcome on Polymarket versus Kalshi's blanket Yes resolution.Hero Tip:
Confirm the official match date with CBF before trading. On Polymarket, the Draw market has unique upside on cancellation (resolves Yes), while Win markets have downside (resolve No). Kalshi's structure suggests all three outcome markets resolve Yes regardless of result, which is atypical and warrants clarification with the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Tie, São Paulo win, Coritiba win) resolve to Yes if the match occurs on Feb 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. This creates a logical issue: all outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve Yes.
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with outcome-dependent cancellation logic. Coritiba win and São Paulo win markets resolve No on cancellation; Draw market uniquely resolves Yes on cancellation. Match scheduled for Feb 26, 2026. Covers 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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