TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Which team will score first: Coritiba FBC or SE Palmeiras?

Volume:
$723

SE Palmeiras SP

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 7:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SE Palmeiras SP

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$501
N/A
N/A
$491
Settled
Yes
polymarket

SE Palmeiras

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Coritiba FBC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Coritiba FC PR

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a single soccer match between Coritiba FBC and SE Palmeiras scheduled for July 22, 2026, with markets predicting which team will score first. The core question is identical across platforms: determining the first goal-scorer within a defined time window, though the platforms differ on whether extra time is included in the resolution scope.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Time scope divergence: Polymarket restricts resolution to 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, while Kalshi includes the entire match including extra time. This creates different outcomes if a goal is scored in extra time.Hero tip: If you hold positions on both platforms, understand that a goal in extra time creates a split resolution. On Polymarket it resolves to Neither; on Kalshi it resolves to Yes for the scoring team. Monitor the match status at the 90-minute mark and adjust positions accordingly if extra time appears likely.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: First goal resolution window is strictly 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from consideration. If no goal in this window, resolves to Neither.
  • Kalshi: First goal resolution window encompasses the entire game including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. A goal at any point in the match determines the outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Coritiba FBC and SE Palmeiras, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Coritiba FBC" if Coritiba FBC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SE Palmeiras" if SE Palmeiras are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The market evaluates first-goal scoring across the complete match duration, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Resolution is determined by which team records the opening goal. If the first goal is an own goal, the market resolves based on the team credited with the goal. The match is a professional Brasileiro Serie A fixture originally scheduled for July 22, 2026.

Frequently asked questions

The first-goal scorer market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi on which team will score first in the Coritiba FBC versus SE Palmeiras match. This market captures real-time consensus by pooling capital and positions from both venues, allowing you to monitor how professional traders and casual predictors assess the likelihood of each outcome. The dashboard displays current odds, historical price movements, and total volume of $723 across both platforms, giving you a comprehensive view of market sentiment as the event approaches.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from live trader supply and demand. Prediction markets often reflect sharper, more dynamic pricing because traders risk real capital on their convictions. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate additional factors like injury reports or late-breaking news faster in some cases. Comparing this market across both venues can reveal where consensus is strongest and where informed traders see value.

Team news—injuries to key forwards or defensive players—can shift odds significantly, as can lineup announcements or tactical changes. Historical head-to-head records and recent form streaks influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments, and venue factors may also sway sentiment. Major injuries announced days before kickoff typically trigger sharp repricing. Social media sentiment and expert commentary can amplify moves, especially if a star player is ruled out. Monitor official team channels and credible sports news outlets for updates that could reshape trader conviction and move prices across both platforms.