TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 8:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the exact final score of a Brazil Série A match between Coritiba FBC and SE Palmeiras scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Polymarket offers 18 discrete exact-score outcomes plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all, while Kalshi offers four spread-based markets (Coritiba >2.5, Coritiba >1.5, Palmeiras >1.5, Palmeiras >2.5 goal margins). Both platforms measure only the 90-minute regulation plus stoppage time result.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Coritiba FBC and SE Palmeiras, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras match originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution is determined by the final score of the Coritiba vs Palmeiras Brasileiro match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The event encompasses four distinct spread thresholds: Coritiba winning by more than 2.5 goals, Coritiba winning by more than 1.5 goals, Palmeiras winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Palmeiras winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome, allowing traders to bet on specific victory margins for either team.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks use fundamentally different mechanisms to set odds. Sportsbooks employ oddsmakers and risk management to balance their books and lock in profit margins, whereas prediction markets rely on continuous trader participation and supply-and-demand dynamics. This often means prediction market prices reflect genuine crowd sentiment with fewer intermediary markups. However, sportsbooks may incorporate sharper professional input and real-time line movement data. Comparing this market across both venues and against major sportsbooks can reveal arbitrage opportunities or consensus shifts. Prediction markets typically excel at capturing long-tail outcomes and niche events where traditional bookmakers have limited data.
Key catalysts include team news—injuries to star players, suspensions, or surprise lineup changes—which can shift scoring expectations significantly. Pre-match press conferences and tactical leaks often trigger repricing as traders adjust for formation or defensive adjustments. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and referee assignments may influence goal-scoring probability. Recent form streaks, head-to-head history, and league standings also drive sentiment. Major betting syndicates or sharp money flowing into one outcome can signal informed positioning. Social media sentiment and expert predictions occasionally spark retail-driven moves. Monitor official team announcements and sports news outlets closely in the 48 hours before kickoff, as late-breaking information typically produces the sharpest market reactions.