TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 8:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether SE Palmeiras will win their Campeonato Brasileiro Série A match against Coritiba FBC on July 22, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for SE Palmeiras to win stands at 100.0%, drawing data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official results from the CBF. The final whistle on July 22, 2026, will determine the outcome and settle all associated markets.
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, 2026 between Coritiba FBC and SE Palmeiras.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Coritiba vs Palmeiras Brasileiro Serie A match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. Each possible outcome—Coritiba victory, Palmeiras victory, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes. If the match ends in a draw, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on a fundamentally different mechanism than traditional sportsbooks. Rather than a bookmaker setting fixed odds and taking a cut, traders on these platforms buy and sell shares that reflect their collective belief in each outcome. This peer-to-peer pricing often incorporates real-time information and can move rapidly as new signals emerge. Sportsbooks, by contrast, manage risk through fixed spreads and limits. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be highly accurate because traders have direct financial incentive to price outcomes correctly, making them a valuable reference point for comparing against sportsbook lines.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup changes, or managerial decisions that shift competitive balance. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any off-field controversies can trigger rapid repricing. Weather conditions on match day may favor one team's style of play. Betting syndicates and sharp money flowing into either platform can signal informed positioning and move odds significantly. Social media sentiment and mainstream sports coverage occasionally drive retail trader activity. Late-breaking tactical announcements or unexpected roster moves in the hours before kickoff often produce sharp moves. Monitoring both platforms for volume spikes and odds shifts helps you stay ahead of market-moving information.