This event group covers a Brazilian Série A soccer match between Coritiba FBC and Fluminense FC scheduled for April 4, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: whether Coritiba wins, whether Fluminense wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the identical underlying event: the outcome of the Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC match on April 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with the same primary source (official governing body or credible reporting consensus) and the same three mutually exclusive outcomes (Coritiba win, Fluminense win, or draw).
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the governing body (CBF - Confederação Brasileira de Futebol) or, if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sources.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the final outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties).
Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Coritiba FBC wins, Fluminense FC wins, or the match ends in a draw.
Exactly one outcome will occur; exactly one market per platform will resolve YES.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's tie market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played and completed.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket resolves the draw market to YES and both win markets to NO. Kalshi resolves the tie market to YES. This is the only scenario where a draw/tie market resolves YES without an actual draw occurring.
Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official CBF statistics. If CBF does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus becomes the resolution source.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon completion of the match (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and official publication of the result by CBF or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours thereafter.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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