TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 10:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in a competitive match, focusing on the margin of victory during the standard playing time. It evaluates whether the outcomes align with specific goal-differential thresholds set for each team. The result depends solely on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates the goal-differential margins by which either Corinthians or Rosario might win the professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer match originally scheduled for August 20, 2026. Resolution is based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Corinthians winning by more than 2.5 goals, Corinthians winning by more than 1.5 goals, Rosario winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Rosario winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market resolving to 'Yes' occurs only if the final score meets or exceeds the specified goal-differential condition for the respective team. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds by buying and selling contracts that represent possible point spreads. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about which team is likely to win by a certain margin, with price fluctuations driven by new data, team news, and in-game developments.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be calculated based on the official match result, determining whether the contracts settle for a win or loss for each position.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, weather conditions, and overall team form leading up to the match could all shift this market. Traders will react to any news or developments that impact the perceived likelihood of a win, loss, or draw, as well as the expected margin of victory for either side.