TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 1:29 PM EST
Kalshi
Corentin Moutet and Marton Fucsovics compete in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Round of 32 professional tennis match on June 22. The market tracks the exact final set score of the match.
This event resolves based on the final set score of the Corentin Moutet vs Marton Fucsovics professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Round of 32. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific set score result: Moutet winning 2-0, Moutet winning 2-1, Fucsovics winning 2-1, or Fucsovics winning 2-0. If the match does not occur before it starts due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot be settled resolve to Fair Market Price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may price certain scorelines differently than traditional bookmakers, particularly if informed tennis traders spot value that sportsbooks have mispriced. Comparing the two can reveal where market participants expect an edge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each exact score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, bids and asks adjust in real time. Higher-priced contracts signal stronger trader conviction, while lower prices indicate skepticism about a particular scoreline occurring.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once the Moutet vs Fucsovics match concludes and the final exact score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result—the number of sets won by each player and the game scores within each set. Resolution occurs automatically once the result is confirmed, and all positions are settled according to the scoreline that occurred.
Market prices may shift based on player form leading up to the match, recent head-to-head records, court surface conditions, and injury reports. Pre-match betting activity on sportsbooks can also influence trader sentiment here. During the match itself, live performance—early set momentum, break-point conversions, and fatigue patterns—will drive rapid repricing as traders update their scoreline expectations. News of weather delays or other logistical factors may also trigger volatility in this market.