TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Franco Roncadelli in the Cordenons, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Franco Roncadelli. This market will resolve to 'Franco Roncadelli' if Franco Roncadelli advances against Max Alcala Gurri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Franco Roncadelli in the Cordenons, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Franco Roncadelli. This market will resolve to 'Franco Roncadelli' if Franco Roncadelli advances against Max Alcala Gurri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than a sportsbook's fixed margin model. On prediction markets, odds update continuously as new information emerges and participants adjust their positions. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set odds to balance action and protect their margin. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree on the fighters' true probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on the ratio of shares bought and sold for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders profit by buying underpriced outcomes and selling overpriced ones, which naturally drives prices toward fair value. The more volume traded, the tighter the spread and the more reliable the price signal becomes for assessing the true probability of each fighter winning.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome will be determined by the official result of the boxing match, verified against established sports news sources and official fight records. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new training updates, injury reports, or other relevant information surfaces.
Key catalysts include fighter training camp updates, injury announcements, weight-cut complications, or changes in odds from major sportsbooks. Trainer or corner changes, public statements from either fighter, and recent performance footage can shift trader sentiment significantly. Media coverage, betting action from sharp bettors, and any official fight card adjustments will also influence prices. Close attention to boxing news and social media from both camps can help you anticipate market moves before they happen.