TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Dellien and Enrico Dalla Valle in the Cordenons, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Enrico Dalla Valle. This market will resolve to 'Enrico Dalla Valle' if Enrico Dalla Valle advances against Hugo Dellien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Dellien and Enrico Dalla Valle in the Cordenons, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Enrico Dalla Valle. This market will resolve to 'Enrico Dalla Valle' if Enrico Dalla Valle advances against Hugo Dellien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the collective belief of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. This market may show odds that differ from traditional sportsbooks, sometimes offering sharper or earlier signals of shifting expectations. Comparing the two can reveal where professional traders and casual bettors disagree on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on the ratio of shares held for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares directly against the liquidity pool, and the price moves continuously as the balance shifts. Higher trading volume typically narrows the spread between bid and ask prices, making it cheaper to enter or exit a position. The system rewards early, accurate predictions and penalizes incorrect ones at settlement.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match between the two players concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which player wins the match at Cordenons. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final point, pending confirmation from official tournament records.
Several factors may shift odds before the match begins or during play. Recent player performance, head-to-head records, court surface preference, and injury reports can all influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions, seeding announcements, or news about either player's form leading into the event may trigger significant price swings. During the match itself, momentum shifts, set outcomes, and real-time performance will drive rapid repricing as traders update their beliefs about the final winner.