TOTAL VOLUME:
$117b
24H VOL:
$147,458,390
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,380,975,298
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,211,529,597
342,832
Markets across
34,170
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,388
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Time left: 04d:00h:32m
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This market tracks the closing price of copper on a specific date and time using standardized exchange contracts. Settlement depends on the precise price at the end of a one-minute trading interval, with data sourced from official market feeds.
All markets resolve based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for copper using the CCU6 contract on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward 10 business days before the current contract's last trading day. Contracts are named by delivery month rather than expiration date to align with exchange standards. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places, with the close price defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. If data is unavailable at the specified time, the most recent published data determines the outcome.
Odds from this market often reflect a blend of trader sentiment and short-term expectations, which can differ from longer-term analyst forecasts. While analysts may consider macroeconomic trends and supply-demand balances, traders on Kalshi price in immediate reactions to news, inventory reports, and geopolitical developments. Comparing the two offers a view of market confidence versus institutional outlooks as Aug 31, 2026 approaches.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders continuously set prices through buying and selling contracts, with the current chance percentage reflecting the weighted average of all open bets. This mechanism captures real-time market sentiment and positions the top outcome at around 99.0%. Volume of $6,973 over the last 24 hours shows how actively participants are engaging with this market.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual copper price at the specified time, closing all positions based on that verified value. Traders should monitor reputable sources as the date approaches to anticipate any last-minute shifts.
Key signals include inventory reports from major exchanges, updates on global mining output, trade policy changes affecting supply chains, and shifts in industrial demand from key economies. Geopolitical tensions or weather events impacting production regions can also cause rapid moves. As Aug 31, 2026 nears, any news reflecting changes in supply-demand fundamentals will likely influence trader positioning and volatility in this market.