TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Friends XI and Pralboino scheduled for 2026-06-28 in Coppa il Mondo T10. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Friends XI will be considered correct if Friends XI is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Pralboino will be considered correct if Pralboino is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Friends XI and Pralboino scheduled for 2026-06-28 in Coppa il Mondo T10. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Friends XI will be considered correct if Friends XI is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Pralboino will be considered correct if Pralboino is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and lock in margins, while prediction markets like this one price outcomes through open trading among participants who profit by forecasting accurately. Sportsbook odds may incorporate sharper professional action, whereas prediction markets can be more responsive to retail sentiment and real-time information flow, sometimes creating arbitrage opportunities between the two venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on the volume and direction of trades. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing each toss outcome, and the cumulative positions determine the implied probability displayed to other participants. As more capital flows toward one outcome, the price shifts to reflect the collective forecast, ensuring the market remains responsive to new information and participant conviction right up until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the toss result is verifiable from credible public reporting of the match. The winning outcome is determined by which team actually wins the coin toss at the start of play, as officially recorded. Once the toss is called and documented, the market settles automatically, paying out traders who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before Jul 5, 2026. Team news, injury updates, or lineup changes announced closer to match day may influence trader perception of momentum or confidence. Weather forecasts, venue conditions, or historical toss-win patterns at the ground could prompt position adjustments. Additionally, sharp money or coordinated trading activity from experienced bettors often triggers repricing as other participants react to large orders, making the final hours before the toss particularly volatile.