TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Cricket Stars and Bologna scheduled for 2026-06-30 in Coppa il Mondo T10. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Cricket Stars will be considered correct if Cricket Stars is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Bologna will be considered correct if Bologna is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Cricket Stars and Bologna scheduled for 2026-06-30 in Coppa il Mondo T10. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Cricket Stars will be considered correct if Cricket Stars is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Bologna will be considered correct if Bologna is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and generate profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders seeking to profit on accurate forecasts. Prediction markets typically reflect genuine crowd belief about outcomes, whereas sportsbooks may shade lines based on betting patterns. For this market, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook lines on the same toss can reveal whether traders are pricing the event differently than professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying or selling shares moves the odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders buy a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This continuous repricing reflects evolving information and sentiment about the toss result. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices adjust, so active markets tend to converge toward fair value faster than thinly traded ones.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Cricket Stars vs Bologna match toss has occurred and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on which team wins the coin toss during the official match ceremony. Resolution happens shortly after the live event concludes and the toss winner is publicly announced, allowing traders to settle their positions.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment before resolution. Team news, injury updates, or lineup changes announced closer to match day might influence confidence in either side. Weather conditions or venue details could also matter if they affect toss strategy or team psychology. Media commentary, expert predictions, and social sentiment may sway trader positioning. Additionally, if either team's recent performance or form changes dramatically, traders might reassess their toss outcome expectations, driving price movement in this market.