TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Bologna and Mantova scheduled for 2026-06-30 in Coppa il Mondo T10. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Bologna will be considered correct if Bologna is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Mantova will be considered correct if Mantova is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Bologna and Mantova scheduled for 2026-06-30 in Coppa il Mondo T10. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Bologna will be considered correct if Bologna is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Mantova will be considered correct if Mantova is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from traditional sportsbooks, especially if one venue has lighter liquidity or different market-maker strategies. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value. However, prediction markets typically converge toward accurate probabilities over time as arbitrageurs exploit mispricings, making them useful benchmarks for true event likelihood.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism where buying or selling shares moves the odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents), reflecting the implied probability that traders assign to it. As more capital flows into one side, that outcome's price rises and the opposing side falls. The market price you see is the consensus of all active traders at that moment. Liquidity depth and recent trade volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information or sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Coppa il Mondo T10 match between Bologna and Mantova concludes and the toss outcome is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the official match result and toss documentation made available by the tournament organizers or broadcast sources. Traders should monitor official cricket channels and tournament announcements as the event date approaches to stay informed. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match completion, after which no further trades are accepted and payouts are distributed according to the final outcome.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before resolution. Team news—injuries, roster changes, or lineup announcements—often influences toss-related sentiment if traders believe certain conditions favor one outcome. Weather forecasts closer to match day may prompt repricing if conditions are expected to affect the toss or early play. Social media buzz, expert commentary, and betting syndicate activity can trigger rapid price movements as new information spreads. Additionally, any official tournament updates or venue changes could alter trader expectations. Watch for late-breaking developments from official cricket sources and monitor trading volume spikes, which often signal informed positioning.