TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 3:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 26, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 26, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by individuals expressing their genuine beliefs about the outcome, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Comparing these odds can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. Traders who believe Ribadesella CF is more likely to win will buy contracts, driving up the price, while those who favor Noja will sell. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd and provides a real-time assessment of the event's probabilities. The current top outcome is Ribadesella CF, though the chance percentage is not available.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Copa del Rey match between Ribadesella CF and Noja, as declared by the governing football association. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ perceptions of each team’s chances. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or broader shifts in the Copa del Rey tournament, could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders or large volume purchases could also cause the odds to move. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving dynamics of this market.