TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of the album "Cookie Happened" by Eels during a specific week in October 2026, focusing on pure album sales in the U.S. The outcome depends on whether the sales exceed various thresholds, with data provided by Luminate.
Kalshi
The event evaluates the pure album sales of "Cookie Happened" by Eels during the tracking week of October 16, 2026, to October 22, 2026, in the U.S. Multiple markets exist, each corresponding to a different sales threshold—1,000; 2,000; 5,000; 7,000; and 10,000 units. For each market, if the reported sales exceed the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All outcomes are determined by data from Luminate’s API, which is accessed at 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week. Luminate serves as a neutral metrics provider and does not influence or endorse the markets.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a blend of expert opinion and crowd-driven speculation. Analysts may issue detailed sales projections based on pre-release data, marketing buzz, and historical trends. In this market, traders price in real-time reactions to new information, such as early streaming numbers or media coverage, which can shift odds more quickly than traditional forecasts.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome’s chance represented as a percentage. The current odds reflect aggregated bets on sales ranges, adjusted for liquidity and trader sentiment. Volume of $599 and recent 24-hour volume of $20 indicate how actively the contract is being traded.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the album’s first-week sales figures are officially reported and verifiable from credible public sources. The final numbers will settle the market based on the predefined sales thresholds, closing all open positions.
