TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 12:28 AM EST
Kalshi
The Cook Out Southern 500 Qualifying Session determines the starting grid for one of NASCAR's premier races. This event focuses on identifying which driver secures the pole position during the qualifying session, marking the top starting spot for the main race.
If Tyler Reddick has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shane Van Gisbergen has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Blaney has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If John H. Nemechek has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chase Briscoe has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ross Chastain has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Cindric has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Corey Heim has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brad Keselowski has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cole Custer has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chase Elliott has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christopher Bell has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael McDowell has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If William Byron has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chad Finchum has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Connor Zilisch has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zane Smith has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Preece has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Erik Jones has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Buescher has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Todd Gilliland has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Bowman has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Berry has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bubba Wallace has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carson Hocevar has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denny Hamlin has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ty Gibbs has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Hill has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ty Dillon has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If AJ Allmendinger has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joey Logano has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyle Larson has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Suárez has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Noah Gragson has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Dillon has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Riley Herbst has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ricky Stenhouse has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cody Ware has been awarded pole position in the Qualifying session originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Cook Out Southern 500, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and biases. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of numerous individuals. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, particularly when factoring in a wide range of perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by promotional offers and public betting patterns, leading to discrepancies with the probabilities seen in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each driver securing the pole position. As more traders believe a driver is likely to win, the price of their contract increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of participants. The prices are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of each driver's chances. The market depth indicates the level of confidence and trading activity surrounding each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, following the completion of the Cook Out Southern 500 qualifying session. The outcome will be determined by the official results published by NASCAR, verifying which driver achieved the fastest lap time and secured the pole position. The result will be confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual outcome, allowing traders to realize their gains or losses based on their predictions. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding driver performance, such as practice lap times or mechanical issues, could significantly shift the probabilities. Weather conditions during the qualifying session are also a crucial factor, as rain or track temperature changes can affect car handling and speed. Unexpected driver announcements, team strategy changes, or even pre-qualifying crashes could all lead to price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could also trigger shifts in the market's assessment of each driver's chances.