TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 5:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The first map of the Conviction versus Cupid Esports League of Legends match will decide this market's fate. As part of the North American Challengers League, this encounter highlights the teams' opening strategies and initial performance. The match represents an important moment in the 2026 season, with both teams vying for an early advantage in the competition.
The market resolves based on the winner of map 1 in the specified League of Legends match. If Conviction wins map 1, the first market resolves to Yes; if Cupid Esports wins, the second market resolves to Yes. Any postponement, cancellation, or forfeiture before play leads to resolution at the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result from the governing body. Kalshi notes no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks based on their expectations for the first map's outcome. The current implied probability reflects the best available bids and asks, with volume of $25,778 showing recent trading activity and total volume at $25,811.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match records from the esports tournament organizers, ensuring an impartial and transparent closing process.
Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries or roster changes, strategic announcements from the teams, pre-match analysis from commentators, and early map performance in related tournament matches. Any unexpected developments in team form or tournament conditions may cause rapid re-pricing among traders on Kalshi before the match concludes.