TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 9:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming women's professional basketball game, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team. Each market corresponds to a different threshold by which either Connecticut or Atlanta must win to settle the bet. The collective markets provide a granular view of expected game dynamics and potential outcomes.
The event consists of multiple sub-markets, each corresponding to a specific point-spread threshold that must be exceeded for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. Each market has an associated threshold, with outcomes ranging from narrow victories (e.g., winning by more than 1.5 points) to decisive margins (e.g., winning by more than 25.5 points). All markets share a common secondary rule: if the originally scheduled game is postponed or delayed, the markets remain open and will close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this two-day window, all markets resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the final spread. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can offer a broader perspective on the potential outcome of the Connecticut vs Atlanta game and highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price isn’t determined by a central authority but emerges from the interactions of buyers and sellers, creating a dynamic and potentially more accurate forecast than traditional methods. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Connecticut vs Atlanta game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sporting authority. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. This process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 18, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather forecasts could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team performance or coaching changes could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi can themselves create momentum and cause the price to move, reflecting a change in sentiment among traders. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential shifts in the market’s direction.