TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 9:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the probability of Angel Reese exceeding 2.5 assists in the Connecticut Sun versus Atlanta Dream WNBA game. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Kalshi and Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to this outcome. Resolution will be determined by data reported on https://www.wnba.com/. Traders should watch the game on September 17th for Reese’s performance, as the final assist total will dictate market settlement, with a final resolution date estimate of 2026-09-18.
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 17 at 7:30PM ET: If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun". If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the total combined points scored by both teams in the Connecticut vs Atlanta women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for September 17, 2026, with each market having a distinct threshold that must be exceeded for a 'Yes' outcome. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond this two-day window, all markets resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. Each market explicitly includes overtime scores in its calculation, ensuring that extended play contributes to the total points tally. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, as reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs, creating a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. This market benefits from the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket and Kalshi. Furthermore, prediction markets typically have lower transaction costs, encouraging more informed participation. While sportsbooks may adjust lines based on significant bets, this market continuously updates based on all trading activity.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trading behavior. For example, differing liquidity or access restrictions might create temporary price discrepancies. These differences are normal and reflect the dynamic nature of decentralized prediction markets.