TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Marquette Golden Eagles (W)
Volume:
$1,173,811
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Connecticut Huskies and Marquette Golden Eagles scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution determined by the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary Yes/Yes resolution structure is logically contradictory for a competitive game outcome. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution. The markets are fundamentally incompatible in settlement mechanics.Hero Tip:
Do not trade these markets as equivalent. Kalshi's structure appears to be a documentation or platform error—contact Kalshi support to clarify the actual No outcome condition. Polymarket's market is resolvable and standard. Treat these as separate, non-arbitrageable markets until Kalshi's logic is corrected.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary framework with both outcomes (Marquette win and UConn win) resolving to Yes. No explicit No outcome is defined. Key Quote: 'If Marquette wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If UConn wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical framework resolving to either 'Connecticut Huskies' or 'Marquette Golden Eagles' based on final score. Postponement keeps market open; full cancellation resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the Connecticut Huskies win, the market will resolve to Connecticut Huskies. If the Marquette Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to Marquette Golden Eagles.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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